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Morning Flash – 4 July 2025

Updated 0730 ET | SIGMA Recon Watchfloor

1. Russia Launches Largest Air Attack of the War on Kyiv
2. US Condemns "Illegitimate and Dangerous" Chinese Military Pressure
3. Ukraine Confirms Successful Deep Strike on Russian Military Plant

What You Need to Know

The operational tempo is escalating significantly. Russia is making a brute-force attempt to overwhelm Kyiv's air defenses with a record-setting attack. Simultaneously, China's "gray zone" pressure on Taiwan has crossed a threshold, drawing a direct and sharp condemnation from the United States. Ukraine is demonstrating an increasing capability to strike back at strategic targets deep within Russia, showing a new phase of asymmetric warfare.

What to Watch For

Russian Ground Assaults: Monitor for any signs of a coordinated Russian ground offensive attempting to capitalize on the massive aerial barrage.
China's Response to US: Watch for Beijing's official diplomatic and military response to the direct US condemnation of its actions.
Ukrainian Strike Tempo: Track follow-on Ukrainian deep strikes to determine if this is a sustained campaign against Russian military-industrial targets.

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